GAME MIL CIN 2021-06-10 11:35 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
MIL100 003 21071580
CIN010 010 00021061

Starters

Tier numbers for starting pitchers are calculated using previous two years of historical data along with current year.

TmWAANameIPTier
MIL2.63Freddy Peralta 68.00.39
CIN-3.56Luis Castillo 68.0-0.45

Vegas Lines

Win column displays payoff on a 100 unit bet which includes bet amount. Tier Combo Simulation (TC) column will be populated soon.

TmOpenCurrentLineWinTC Sim
MIL0.5450.535-115187X
CIN0.4720.512-105195X

Tier Combo Table

Tier Combo Simulation assumes 9+ inning games but results will be shown for 7 inning games with caveat. Games with one new starting pitcher are labeled NA.

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
Lineup MILLuis Castillo
-0.62--0.45=0
Lineup MILRelief CIN
-0.62--1.02=0
Lineup CINFreddy Peralta
0.12-0.39=0
Lineup CINRelief MIL
0.12-0.21=0

Vegas Status

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
MIL34279.0%-8.7%62
CIN2930-3.1%1.8%59

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHUR
MIL3427-27.721.52.9
CIN293031.3-52.5-0.9