TC column displays an expected win probability based upon Tier Combo simulation using the player WAA value system calculated by this data model. Vegas column shows a consensus betting line translated into its break even probability.

Tier column shows starter variance above or below current league average for starters. The square root of a Tier variance is standard deviation. The simulator caps them at +4 and -4 to compensate for fat tails.

Submit a Choose a Day date to see game results for that date.

Games Today 2021-06-10

TimeTeamTierStartersVegasTC
11:35

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MIL0.40Freddy Peralta0.535X
CIN-0.45Luis Castillo0.512X
11:35

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LAN0.72Julio Urias0.706X
PIT-2.83Mitch Keller0.323X
12:05

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ATL0.06Ian Anderson0.444X
PHI3.07Zack Wheeler0.574X
12:10

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SEA-0.33Justus Sheffield0.476X
DET-0.11Tyler Alexander0.545X
18:05

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SFN0.01Anthony DeSclafani0.385X
WAS5.15Max Scherzer0.636X
18:10

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HOU1.47Zack Greinke0.524X
BOS-0.46Eduardo Rodriguez0.524X
18:10

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COL-0.84Chi Chi Gonzalez0.357X
MIA0.98Trevor Rogers0.667X
19:10

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NYA-0.18Michael King0.592X
MIN-1.09J.A. Happ0.455X
19:10

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TOR2.51Hyun Jin Ryu0.524X
CHA0.26Dallas Keuchel0.500X
20:40

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KCA-0.07Mike Minor0.426X
OAK-0.03Frankie Montas0.592X