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Expected Values for 2026-05-06

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
12:10

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TOR0.4570.4810.4510.415105.398.890.9
TBA0.5880.5190.5490.58588.293.399.4
12:15

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MIL0.5240.5420.4970.512103.594.997.8
SLN0.5190.4580.5030.48888.497.194.2
13:10

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LAN0.6870.7050.6730.717102.998.3104.7
HOU0.3570.2950.3270.28382.691.679.2
14:45

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SDN0.5240.5980.5540.614114.2105.8117.3
SFN0.5190.4020.4460.38677.686.174.5
15:07

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CHA0.531NANANANANANA
ANA0.512NANANANANANA
15:10

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ATL0.474------
SEA0.569------
17:40

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OAK0.4120.3780.3400.39191.982.695.0
PHI0.6340.6220.6600.60998.3104.396.2
17:40

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BAL0.469OOOOOO
MIA0.571OOOOOO
17:40

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BOS0.5220.4920.4630.45094.588.986.4
DET0.5220.5080.5370.55097.5103.1105.6
17:45

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MIN0.5500.5610.5150.602102.193.7109.6
WAS0.4950.4390.4850.39888.798.080.4
18:05

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TEX0.4020.4200.3900.378104.697.194.1
NYA0.6440.5800.6100.62289.994.596.4
18:40

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CLE0.4590.5070.4780.471110.5104.2102.7
KCA0.5800.4930.5220.52984.889.891.0
18:40

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CIN0.4100.4300.3850.364104.993.988.8
CHN0.6320.5700.6150.63690.197.2100.5
20:20

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NYN0.612XXXXXX
COL0.431XXXXXX
20:40

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PIT0.565XXXXXX
ARI0.478XXXXXX

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