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Expected Values for 2026-07-04

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
10:05

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PIT0.614OOOOOO
WAS0.429OOOOOO
12:35

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MIN0.441NANANANANANA
NYA0.603NANANANANANA
15:05

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DET0.5520.5830.5540.541105.5100.397.9
TEX0.4930.4170.4460.45984.790.593.2
15:10

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TOR0.418OOOOOO
SEA0.623OOOOOO
18:10

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TBA0.5050.5350.5110.547105.9101.2108.3
HOU0.5370.4650.4890.45386.591.084.3
18:10

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CHA0.4590.5000.4690.466109.0102.2101.6
CLE0.5830.5000.5310.53485.590.891.3
18:10

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BAL0.483NANANANANANA
CIN0.558NANANANANANA
19:08

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SLN0.4260.4400.3960.410103.493.196.3
CHN0.6180.5600.6040.59090.797.895.6
19:08

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NYN0.3910.3470.3160.30288.880.977.3
ATL0.6540.6530.6840.69899.9104.7106.8
19:10

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PHI0.6140.6070.5750.63998.993.7104.2
KCA0.4290.3930.4250.36191.699.084.1
19:10

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SFN0.5650.5230.4940.48692.687.486.0
COL0.4780.4770.5060.51499.7105.8107.4
20:38

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BOS0.634OOOOOO
ANA0.410OOOOOO
20:40

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MIA0.583HAHA0.550HAHA94.1
OAK0.459HAHA0.450HAHA98.1
20:40

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MIL0.614HAHA0.606HAHA98.8
ARI0.427HAHA0.394HAHA92.2
21:10

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SDN0.317XXXXXX
LAN0.728XXXXXX

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