Choose a Day

BAL HOU 2023-09-18 19:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
BAL001 020 203824161
HOU100 004 110722100

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
BAL-0.130.00John Means (L) 5.0-0.06
HOU3.290.00Justin Verlander (R) 143.30.9

Vegas Lines

TmOpenCurrentLineRangeTC Sim
BAL0.4370.3751670.375 - 0.444NA
HOU0.5830.658-1920.597 - 0.667NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
BAL0.38Justin Verlander
-0.9=-1
Relief HOU
-0.4=0
HOU2.04John Means
--0.06=2
Relief BAL
--0.18=2

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
BAL935670.041.310.711.4ALDS
HOU846687.050.3-14.3-7.8ALDS

Vegas Status

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
BAL935618.2%-26.1%149
HOU8466-0.8%-3.4%149

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
19:10

details
BAL0.382NANANANANANA
HOU0.658NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
BAL3716.514.6-1.23.111.4
HOU1834.419.37.37.8-7.8

Away/Home Field Advantage

TmtWAAWAAtPEPEUR
AWAYBAL2.393.340.951.480
HOMEHOU0.57-0.031.01-0.03-1.65

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