Choose a Day

ARI ATL 2024-04-07 12:35 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
ARI000 200 0002551
ATL020 100 0251770

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
ARI-0.59-1.10Ryne Nelson (R) 2.799
ATL0.100.12Chris Sale (L) 5.399

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
ARI0.3170.3272062060.323 - 0.357X
ATL0.7300.716-252400.683 - 0.718X

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
ARI4618.3-1.9-0.3-5.4
ATL6213.310.12.7-1.5

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
ARIXX-37.4%5.1%10
ATLXX13.1%-40.0%8

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
12:35

details
ARI0.327XXXXXX
ATL0.716XXXXXX

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
ATL45.03.00.91.1-0.9
ARI-24.22.70.51.0-5.4

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA

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