Choose a Day

MIL CIN 2024-04-08 17:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
MIL000 033 200820123
CIN020 610 101022101

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
MIL0.00-0.64Aaron Ashby (L) 0.099
CIN0.14-1.82Graham Ashcraft (R) 6.099

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
MIL0.5280.519-108930.510 - 0.524X
CIN0.5190.522-109920.519 - 0.528X

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
MIL635.57.0-4.41.3
CIN6412.51.0-4.40.1

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
MILXX28.6%-35.2%9
CINXX16.9%-19.6%10

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
17:40

details
MIL0.519XXXXXX
CIN0.522XXXXXX

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
MIL31.51.21.0-0.70.4
CIN21.41.20.8-0.5-0.8

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA

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