Choose a Day

MIL CIN 2024-04-09 17:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
MIL003 021 300918131
CIN000 100 220514101

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
MIL0.350Joe Ross (R) 3.799
CIN0.90-0.07Frankie Montas (R) 11.799

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
MIL0.4630.4571191190.455 - 0.476X
CIN0.5730.582-139720.565 - 0.587X

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
MIL7310.46.5-4.91.5
CIN6513.4-1.5-6.9-0.1

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
MILXX37.6%-41.7%10
CINXX6.3%-7.0%11

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
17:40

details
MIL0.457XXXXXX
CIN0.582XXXXXX

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
MIL41.71.70.6-0.60.5
CIN11.82.00.3-0.6-1.5

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA

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