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SLN ARI 2024-04-12 20:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
SLN312 000 120926142
ARI000 060 00061390

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
SLN0.58-0.11Steven Matz (L) 10.399
ARI-0.24-1.54Brandon Pfaadt (R) 10.799

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
SLN0.4760.4881051050.476 - 0.495X
ARI0.5650.554-124810.550 - 0.565X

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
SLN77-1.60.4-0.80.4
ARI6819.4-5.60.2-4.9

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
SLNXX4.2%-14.6%14
ARIXX-30.8%7.3%14

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
20:40

details
SLN0.488XXXXXX
ARI0.554XXXXXX

Away/Home Field Advantage

TmtWAAWAAtPEPEUR

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