Choose a Day

ANA TBA 2024-04-18 12:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
ANA000 001 0001660
TBA200 000 002751

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
ANA-1.870.04Griffin Canning (R) 13.7-1.3
TBA-0.561.25Ryan Pepiot (R) 16.70.01

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
ANA0.4000.4481231230.400 - 0.455X
TBA0.6610.592-145690.592 - 0.661X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
ANA-0.14Ryan Pepiot
-0.01=0
Relief TBA
-0.42=-1
TBA-0.05Griffin Canning
--1.3=1
Relief ANA
--0.5=0

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
ANA9105.2-13.12.00.2
TBA119-1.1-17.01.15.6

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
ANA910-1.8%-7.0%19
TBA119-2.4%-4.6%20

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
12:10

details
ANA0.448XXXXXX
TBA0.592XXXXXX

Away/Home Field Advantage

TmtWAAWAAtPEPEUR
AWAYANA0-0.05-0.530.02-0.05
HOMETBA0.04-0.4-0.56-0.14-0.23

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