Choose a Day

DET MIN 2024-04-20 13:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
DET000 001 1103852
MIN011 020 004970

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
DET0.020.39Reese Olson (R) 16.30
MIN-0.711.94Bailey Ober (R) 12.30.12

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
DET0.4500.4521211210.444 - 0.455X
MIN0.5920.588-143700.587 - 0.600X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
DET-1.38Bailey Ober
-0.12=-2
Relief MIN
-0.23=-2
MIN-0.19Reese Olson
-0=0
Relief DET
-2.85=-3

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
DET1110-23.825.7-5.91.8
MIN712-23.97.0-3.1-0.8

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
DET1110-1.2%-3.2%21
MIN109-28.3%21.8%19

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
13:10

details
DET0.452XXXXXX
MIN0.588XXXXXX

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
DET11.1-2.0-1.24.31.8
MIN-5-4.4-2.5-3.31.3-0.8

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYDET0.133.28
HOMEMIN-1.17-0.08

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