Choose a Day

SEA COL 2024-04-20 19:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
SEA011 140 000719160
COL000 000 0000432

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
SEA-0.893.92Luis Castillo (R) 21.71.46
COL0.04-1.38Dakota Hudson (R) 17.3-0.76

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
SEA0.6480.648-184540.643 - 0.655X
COL0.3940.3941541540.388 - 0.400X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
SEA-0.03Dakota Hudson
--0.76=1
Relief COL
--5.29=4
COL-0.43Luis Castillo
-1.46=-2
Relief SEA
-0.57=-1

got here showsim internal 0

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
SEA1010-16.98.04.90.8
COL416-13.9-33.0-1.1-1.9

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
SEA119-10.9%-0.8%20
COL812-47.7%21.5%20

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
19:10

details
SEA0.648XXXXXX
COL0.394XXXXXX

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
SEA0-3.1-3.8-1.11.80.8
COL-12-4.8-1.4-1.4-2.0-1.9

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYSEA-0.030.08
HOMECOL-3.941.13

_

Home Baseball Handbook FooterMastodon