Choose a Day

SEA COL 2024-04-21 19:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
SEA060 003 0101020131
COL200 000 0002861

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
SEA-1.34-0.03Emerson Hancock (R) 14.7-0.81
COL0.52-0.97Peter Lambert (R) 11.7-0.2

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
SEA0.6620.654-189530.574 - 0.580X
COL0.3790.3881581580.459 - 0.467X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
SEA-0.22Peter Lambert
--0.2=0
Relief COL
--5.52=4
COL-0.51Emerson Hancock
--0.81=0
Relief SEA
-0.65=-1

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
SEA1111-13.912.44.4-0.6
COL517-17.9-35.6-1.6-0.4

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
SEA1210-12.1%1.9%22
COL814-40.7%17.4%22

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
19:10

details
SEA0.654XXXXXX
COL0.388XXXXXX

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
SEA0-1.8-3.4-0.42.0-0.6
COL-12-6.2-2.3-1.8-2.2-0.4

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYSEA00.2
HOMECOL-4.150.83

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