Choose a Day

LAN WAS 2024-04-23 17:45 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
LAN000 001 02141490
WAS010 000 0001871

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
LAN0.42-0.17James Paxton (L) 16.0-0.01
WAS-2.11-3.64Patrick Corbin (L) 22.3-8.9

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
LAN0.6880.683-215470.677 - 0.704X
WAS0.3570.3601781780.338 - 0.370X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
LAN6.21Patrick Corbin
--8.9=6
Relief WAS
-0.13=4
WAS-1.18James Paxton
--0.01=-1
Relief LAN
--0.15=-1

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
LAN141115.55.2-1.7-1.0
WAS1012-11.3-5.04.30.5

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
LAN178-14.3%16.8%23
WAS91317.4%-11.1%22

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
17:45

details
LAN0.683XXXXXX
WAS0.360XXXXXX

Away/Home Field Advantage

TmtWAAWAAtPEPEUR
AWAYLAN0.10.063.24-0.991.46
HOMEWAS-0.02-0.42-0.22-1.7-0.04

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