Baseball Handbook beta

SLN DET 2024-04-29 17:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

Tm	Line Score	R	TB	H	E
SLN	000 050 100	0	0	0	0
DET	211 030 40	0	0	0	0

Starters

Tm	WAA	2Yr	Name	IP	Tier
SLN	-0.89	-0.11	Steven Matz (L)	24.3	99
DET	0.28	1.06	Matt Manning (R)	12.3	99

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

Tm	Open	Current	Line	Win	Range	TC Sim
SLN	0.512	0.510	-104	96	0.485 - 0.512	X
DET	0.535	0.531	-113	88	0.535 - 0.556	X

Team Status

Tm	W	L	BAT	PITCH	UR	dPE
SLN	13	15	-23.6	2.8	-2.2	2.8
DET	16	12	-25.4	33.0	-4.6	3.4

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

Tm	W	L	For	Against	#Bets
SLN	14	14	-9.2%	-0.1%	28
DET	14	14	9.1%	-13.1%	28

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

Time	Tm	Vegas	Neutral	HAP	HAWAA	Expected Values
17:40 details	SLN	0.517	X	X	X	X	X	X
	DET	0.524	X	X	X	X	X	X

Horse Race Record

Tm	W-L	Total	Hitters	Starters	Relief	dPE
DET	4	2.4	-1.6	1.0	3.1	2.4
SLN	-2	0.1	-3.2	-0.1	3.3	2.4

Away/Home Field Advantage

	Tm	total WAA	away/home WAA
AWAY	SLN	-0.07	0.47
HOME	DET	0.3	0.25