Choose a Day

KCA TOR 2024-04-30 18:07 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
KCA020 000 02041380
TOR000 001 0001440

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
KCA0.140.56Cole Ragans (L) 30.00.01
TOR2.49-0.45Jose Berrios (R) 36.70.52

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
KCA0.4760.4741111110.465 - 0.488X
TOR0.5650.565-130770.556 - 0.574X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
KCA-0.35Jose Berrios
-0.52=-1
Relief TOR
-0.18=-1
TOR-0.04Cole Ragans
-0.01=0
Relief KCA
--0.27=0

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
KCA18135.419.719.9-4.4
TOR1516-22.4-0.7-2.94.5

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
KCA151612.2%-23.4%31
TOR1615-9.3%-0.2%31

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:07

details
KCA0.474XXXXXX
TOR0.565XXXXXX

Away/Home Field Advantage

TmtWAAWAAtPEPEUR
AWAYKCA0.29-0.791.18-0.364.22
HOMETOR00.24-0.03-0.120

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