Choose a Day

CHA SLN 2024-05-03 19:15 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
CHA000 000 0000431
SLN200 010 003960

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
CHA0.16-1.70Brad Keller (R) 1.7-0.96
SLN1.533.96Sonny Gray (R) 23.35.71

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
CHA0.2990.2992352350.000 - 0.000X
SLN0.7440.744-291340.000 - 0.000X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
CHA-3.32Sonny Gray
-5.71=-6
Relief SLN
-0.05=-3
SLN0Brad Keller
--0.96=1
Relief CHA
--3.52=4

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
CHA626-53.9-26.5-6.6-1.7
SLN1517-26.70.1-0.43.7

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
CHA1220-50.5%23.2%32
SLN1616-10.0%-0.6%32

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

20241217 2017 showsim.pl no gamecsv for ah away gameid 745187
20241217 2017 showsim.pl no gamecsv for ah home gameid 745187
TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
SLN-2-1.2-2.8-0.82.43.6
CHA-20-10.9-7.3-3.5-0.2-3.1

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYCHA-6.02-7.22
HOMESLN-0.15-0.91

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