Choose a Day

COL PIT 2024-05-05 12:35 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
COL030 000 00031570
PIT000 104 0051690

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
COL-0.86-2.38Ryan Feltner (R) 33.3-3.28
PIT-0.20-0.76Bailey Falter (L) 32.0-0.52

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
COL0.4240.4241361360.424 - 0.435X
PIT0.6180.615-160630.608 - 0.618X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
COL-1.24Bailey Falter
--0.52=-1
Relief PIT
--0.87=0
PIT-1.8Ryan Feltner
--3.28=1
Relief COL
--9.45=2

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
COL826-25.6-50.9-0.5-1.8
PIT1619-22.69.1-1.50.2

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
COL1321-41.0%17.9%34
PIT1718-7.9%5.3%35

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
12:35

details
COL0.424XXXXXX
PIT0.615XXXXXX

Away/Home Field Advantage

TmtWAAWAAtPEPEUR
AWAYCOL-4.39-3.7-2.14-3.03-0.3
HOMEPIT-0.24-0.26-0.04-0.17-0.55

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