Choose a Day

SDN CHN 2024-05-06 18:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
SDN000 006 000613110
CHN000 002 10031570

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
SDN0.351.40Yu Darvish (R) 28.70.33
CHN0.223.30Justin Steele (L) 4.72.03

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
SDN0.5050.510-104960.505 - 0.512NA
CHN0.5370.533-114880.535 - 0.537NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
SDN-0.15Justin Steele
-2.03=-2
Relief CHN
-1.19=-1
CHN0Yu Darvish
-0.33=0
Relief SDN
-0.62=-1

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
SDN191932.4-19.91.5-2.9
CHN211514.66.7-6.32.9

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
SDN2018-6.4%-0.7%36
CHN171914.5%-22.7%36

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:40

details
SDN0.510NANANANANANA
CHN0.533NANANANANANA

Away/Home Field Advantage

TmtWAAWAAtPEPEUR
AWAYSDN-0.010.580.3800.12
HOMECHN0.712.030.252.320.06

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