Choose a Day

CLE CHA 2024-05-11 18:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
CLE000 100 0001841
CHA020 000 013970

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
CLE-0.061.69Triston McKenzie (R) 34.00.25
CHA-0.440.33Mike Clevinger (R) 2.0-0.11

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
CLE0.6270.635-174570.623 - 0.643NA
CHA0.4130.4051471470.400 - 0.417NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
CLE-0.01Mike Clevinger
--0.11=0
Relief CHA
--1.31=1
CHA-3.58Triston McKenzie
-0.25=-4
Relief CLE
-4.06=-6

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
CLE24169.418.27.50.6
CHA1228-59.6-16.8-6.51.4

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
CLE211914.6%-19.6%40
CHA1525-23.9%6.0%40

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:10

details
CLE0.635NANANANANANA
CHA0.405NANANANANANA

Away/Home Field Advantage

TmtWAAWAAtPEPEUR
AWAYCLE0.950.610.651.80.07
HOMECHA-3.37-1.68-4.7-1.66-0.7

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