Choose a Day

OAK SEA 2024-05-11 20:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
OAK002 000 03381590
SEA010 000 0001730

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
OAK0.00-0.29Joey Estes (R) 0.0-0.17
SEA1.33-0.03Bryce Miller (R) 41.30.12

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
OAK0.3510.3521841840.351 - 0.352NA
SEA0.6920.690-223450.688 - 0.694NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
OAK-0.77Bryce Miller
-0.12=-1
Relief SEA
-0.55=-1
SEA-0.03Joey Estes
--0.17=0
Relief OAK
--1.58=2

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
OAK1922-11.4-12.4-4.32.9
SEA2119-26.425.62.71.6

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
OAK17248.5%-11.4%41
SEA2119-1.3%-3.9%40

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
20:40

details
OAK0.352NANANANANANA
SEA0.690NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
SEA22.4-4.23.13.51.6
OAK-3-0.50.1-2.82.12.9

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYOAK-0.19-0.26
HOMESEA0.110.05

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