Choose a Day

LAN SFN 2024-05-14 20:45 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
LAN000 410 1041027130
SFN000 001 00121292

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
LAN0.33-1.22Gavin Stone (R) 38.0-0.58
SFN-1.41-0.14Keaton Winn (R) 38.3-1.19

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
LAN0.6580.653-188530.653 - 0.658X
SFN0.3850.3891571570.385 - 0.392X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
LAN11.05Keaton Winn
--1.19=5
Relief SFN
-0.03=4
SFN-0.65Gavin Stone
--0.58=0
Relief LAN
--0.22=0

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
LAN291549.730.14.2-3.6
SFN1925-21.3-26.9-0.84.3

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
LAN27175.2%-16.4%42
SFN2222-20.0%7.8%44

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
20:45

details
LAN0.653XXXXXX
SFN0.389XXXXXX

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
LAN1413.68.43.61.6-3.6
SFN-62.0-1.02.01.14.3

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYLAN21.2
HOMESFN-0.30

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