Baseball Handbook beta

COL SDN 2024-05-15 15:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

Tm	Line Score	R	TB	H	E
COL	032 002 010	8	20	12	0
SDN	000 000 000	0	4	4	0

Starters

Tm	WAA	2Yr	Name	IP	Tier
COL	0.61	-3.03	Austin Gomber (L)	44.7	-2.25
SDN	0.34	2.38	Michael King (R)	49.0	1.11

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

Tm	Open	Current	Line	Win	Range	TC Sim
COL	0.328	0.331	202	202	0.328 - 0.999	0.307
SDN	0.714	0.713	-248	40	0.167 - 0.714	0.693

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

Lineups		Pitchers		TC
COL-1.4		Michael King
	-	1.11	=	-3
		Relief SDN
	-	0.34	=	-2
SDN0		Austin Gomber
	-	-2.25	=	2
		Relief COL
	-	-8.57	=	4

Team Status

Tm	W	L	BAT	PITCH	UR	dPE
COL	15	28	-13.2	-42.7	0.9	-1.4
SDN	22	24	17.4	-17.7	4.3	-2.8

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

Tm	W	L	For	Against	#Bets
COL	16	27	-10.4%	0.7%	43
SDN	24	22	-9.4%	9.7%	44

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

Time	Tm	Vegas	Neutral	HAP	HAWAA	Expected Values
15:10 details	COL	0.331	0.342	0.307	0.303	103.3	92.7	91.5
	SDN	0.713	0.658	0.693	0.697	92.1	97.0	97.6

Away/Home Field Advantage

	Tm	total WAA	away/home WAA
AWAY	COL	-2.22	-3.28
HOME	SDN	-0.01	-1.56