Choose a Day

NYA MIN 2024-05-15 18:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
NYA111 000 100421131
MIN000 000 0000540

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
NYA0.151.09Marcus Stroman (R) 42.70.1
MIN0.081.53Pablo Lopez (R) 44.00.25

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
NYA0.4590.4591181180.455 - 0.463X
MIN0.5850.582-139720.576 - 0.592X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
NYA0.83Pablo Lopez
-0.25=1
Relief MIN
--0.01=1
MIN0.02Marcus Stroman
-0.1=0
Relief NYA
-0=0

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
NYA291521.642.8-2.41.0
MIN241810.84.33.92.0

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
NYA242018.8%-24.4%44
MIN22202.2%-14.7%42

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:40

details
NYA0.459XXXXXX
MIN0.582XXXXXX

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
NYA1410.24.13.22.91.0
MIN63.53.50.6-0.62.0

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYNYA1.910
HOMEMIN0.550.23

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