Choose a Day

NYN PHI 2024-05-15 17:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
NYN101 000 03051592
PHI100 042 301014102

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
NYN0.000.66Joey Lucchesi (L) 0.00
PHI3.050.67Ranger Suarez (L) 54.02.38

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
NYN0.4080.3721691690.360 - 0.408NA
PHI0.6550.671-204490.655 - 0.683NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
NYN0.24Ranger Suarez
-2.38=-2
Relief PHI
-0.16=0
PHI2.01Joey Lucchesi
-0=2
Relief NYN
--0.04=2

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
NYN1923-20.911.90.0-2.1
PHI311342.623.85.62.9

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
NYN2121-8.2%2.9%42
PHI261818.2%-34.5%44

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
17:40

details
NYN0.372NANANANANANA
PHI0.671NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
PHI1816.37.17.91.32.9
NYN-40.8-1.61.31.0-2.1

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYNYN-0.10
HOMEPHI3.270.56

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