Choose a Day

TBA BOS 2024-05-15 18:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
TBA000 103 0004770
BOS100 101 00031682

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
TBA0.34-1.28Taj Bradley (R) 6.0-0.59
BOS2.04-0.19Tanner Houck (R) 52.30.38

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
TBA0.4650.4671141140.455 - 0.476NA
BOS0.5740.573-134750.565 - 0.592NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
TBA0.01Tanner Houck
-0.38=0
Relief BOS
-0.7=-1
BOS-0.19Taj Bradley
--0.59=0
Relief TBA
-0.57=-1

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
TBA2222-5.2-20.7-4.16.3
BOS22212.037.8-8.8-5.5

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
TBA2321-9.1%5.5%44
BOS2122-2.0%-7.3%43

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:10

details
TBA0.467NANANANANANA
BOS0.573NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
BOS111.51.25.94.4-5.5
TBA0-2.8-1.1-2.60.96.3

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYTBA-0.01-0.44
HOMEBOS0.051.32

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