Choose a Day

CIN LAN 2024-05-17 21:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
CIN000 111 00031371
LAN102 000 2271892

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
CIN-0.16-0.06Frankie Montas (R) 30.0-0.16
LAN1.17-0.14James Paxton (L) 38.30.05

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
CIN0.3790.3801631630.364 - 0.3920.374
LAN0.6640.661-195510.655 - 0.6750.626

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
CIN-0.31James Paxton
-0.05=0
Relief LAN
--0.08=0
LAN6.94Frankie Montas
--0.16=4
Relief CIN
-0.04=4

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
CIN1926-1.31.6-2.3-6.6
LAN301747.528.14.4-3.8

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
CIN2223-16.7%7.9%45
LAN29181.5%-9.3%45

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
21:10

details
CIN0.380XXXXXX
LAN0.661XXXXXX

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
LAN1313.68.93.31.4-3.8
CIN-7-0.9-1.01.4-1.2-6.6

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYCIN-0.44-0.01
HOMELAN1.752.14

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