Choose a Day

CHA NYA 2024-05-18 12:05 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
CHA100 000 0001861
NYA221 010 0062390

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
CHA0.35-1.46Brad Keller (R) 12.7-0.67
NYA1.42-0.15Luis Gil (R) 43.00.11

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
CHA0.2700.2962382380.270 - 0.294NA
NYA0.7890.747-296340.747 - 0.789NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
CHA-3.98Luis Gil
-0.11=-4
Relief NYA
-0.01=-4
NYA0.57Brad Keller
--0.67=1
Relief CHA
--0.73=1

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
CHA1432-76.0-10.4-7.61.7
NYA321523.353.0-2.31.5

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
CHA1729-26.0%5.5%46
NYA252221.3%-29.3%47

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
12:05

details
CHA0.296NANANANANANA
NYA0.747NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
NYA1712.64.45.03.21.5
CHA-18-10.4-10.7-2.42.61.7

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYCHA-3.37-7.66
HOMENYA2.982.44

_

Home Baseball Handbook FooterMastodon