Choose a Day

BOS SLN 2024-05-19 12:05 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
BOS110 232 0021128140
SLN000 100 20031061

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
BOS0.21-0.55Nick Pivetta (R) 20.7-0.21
SLN-0.32-1.15Matthew Liberatore (L) 23.7-1.03

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
BOS0.5650.561-128780.565 - 0.574X
SLN0.4760.4781091090.476 - 0.488X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
BOS-0.02Matthew Liberatore
--1.03=1
Relief SLN
-0.78=-1
SLN-0.03Nick Pivetta
--0.21=0
Relief BOS
-0.2=0

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
BOS23248.130.3-10.5-6.9
SLN2026-28.1-21.10.24.3

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
BOS2324-6.6%-2.7%47
SLN2323-16.1%9.2%46

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
12:05

details
BOS0.561XXXXXX
SLN0.478XXXXXX

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
BOS-110.01.15.73.2-6.9
SLN-6-1.4-3.5-2.04.14.3

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYBOS-0.04-0.03
HOMESLN-0.26-1.1

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