Choose a Day

NYN MIA 2024-05-19 12:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
NYN400 000 003717120
MIA020 000 10031580

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
NYN0.82-1.58Sean Manaea (L) 41.3-0.45
MIA-1.060.00Sixto Sanchez (R) 22.7-0.66

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
NYN0.6430.583-140710.583 - 0.6430.502
MIA0.4170.4551201200.417 - 0.4590.498

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
NYN0.12Sixto Sanchez
--0.66=1
Relief MIA
--0.76=1
MIA-0.2Sean Manaea
--0.45=0
Relief NYN
-0.1=0

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
NYN2125-16.84.6-0.8-1.3
MIA1533-23.3-53.6-5.1-0.8

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
NYN2323-7.8%2.8%46
MIA2127-31.2%21.9%48

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
12:40

details
NYN0.5830.5330.5020.57591.185.898.3
MIA0.4550.4670.4980.425102.7109.693.5

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
NYN-4-0.9-0.4-3.02.5-1.3
MIA-18-6.8-1.1-5.1-0.7-0.8

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYNYN-0.26-0.03
HOMEMIA-3.05-5.13

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