Choose a Day

BOS TBA 2024-05-20 17:50 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
BOS000 320 00051670
TBA000 000 0000330

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
BOS2.38-0.18Tanner Houck (R) 58.00.57
TBA0.38-1.21Taj Bradley (R) 11.0-0.47

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
BOS0.5000.4881051050.488 - 0.512NA
TBA0.5450.552-123810.545 - 0.565NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
BOS-0.04Taj Bradley
--0.47=0
Relief TBA
-0.91=-1
TBA0Tanner Houck
-0.57=-1
Relief BOS
-0.19=0

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
BOS24248.634.4-10.1-6.9
TBA2524-9.6-21.0-3.48.1

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
BOS2424-4.2%-4.7%48
TBA2524-5.1%2.7%49

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
17:50

details
BOS0.488NANANANANANA
TBA0.552NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
TBA1-2.8-1.1-3.51.98.1
BOS011.62.56.13.1-6.9

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYBOS-0.010
HOMETBA0.04-0.06

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