Choose a Day

SDN ATL 2024-05-20 11:20 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
SDN000 010 140612101
ATL203 000 000520120

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
SDN1.941.98Dylan Cease (R) 55.02.46
ATL2.441.34Reynaldo Lopez (R) 40.32.26

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
SDN0.3620.4981011010.000 - 0.000X
ATL0.6770.543-119840.000 - 0.000X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
SDN0.06Reynaldo Lopez
-2.26=-2
Relief ATL
-2.75=-3
ATL1.59Dylan Cease
-2.46=-1
Relief SDN
-0.34=1

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
SDN252512.9-6.95.9-2.5
ATL2717-0.434.45.91.6

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
SDN2525-2.7%4.3%48
ATL2717-3.2%-11.4%44

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
11:20

details
SDN0.498XXXXXX
ATL0.543XXXXXX

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
ATL1010.32.73.24.41.6
SDN07.42.72.52.2-2.5

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYSDN01.42
HOMEATL0.990.61

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