Choose a Day

ANA HOU 2024-05-21 19:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
ANA200 200 100 0519110
HOU200 002 100 1624100

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
ANA-1.360.03Griffin Canning (R) 46.7-0.89
HOU0.541.51Cristian Javier (R) 30.70.5

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
ANA0.3790.3761661660.370 - 0.3820.342
HOU0.6620.664-198510.662 - 0.6720.658

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
ANA-0.15Cristian Javier
-0.5=-1
Relief HOU
--0.03=0
HOU2.8Griffin Canning
--0.89=4
Relief ANA
--2.11=5

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
ANA19309.3-39.81.5-4.9
HOU222721.3-40.812.5-3.5

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
ANA2227-13.8%8.5%49
HOU2722-22.5%16.1%49

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
19:10

details
ANA0.3760.3850.3420.356102.491.094.7
HOU0.6640.6150.6580.64492.999.497.2

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
HOU-52.94.4-0.1-1.5-3.5
ANA-11-2.22.3-2.1-2.4-4.9

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYANA-1-0.07
HOMEHOU-0.36-0.43

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