Choose a Day

SDN CIN 2024-05-21 17:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
SDN000 000 0000552
CIN020 000 002430

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
SDN-2.282.76Joe Musgrove (R) 41.00
CIN1.120.45Andrew Abbott (L) 50.00.22

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
SDN0.5450.552-123810.545 - 0.5500.517
CIN0.5000.4901041040.490 - 0.5000.483

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
SDN0Andrew Abbott
-0.22=0
Relief CIN
-0.02=0
CIN-0.72Joe Musgrove
-0=-1
Relief SDN
-0.57=-1

got here showsim internal 0

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
SDN25268.6-3.14.5-3.1
CIN2028-10.78.2-2.5-7.0

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
SDN2625-4.7%6.4%49
CIN2325-17.7%7.6%48

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
17:40

details
SDN0.5520.5470.5170.57999.093.6104.8
CIN0.4900.4530.4830.42192.498.585.9

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
SDN-17.63.01.92.8-3.1
CIN-8-2.4-2.81.5-1.0-7.0

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYSDN0.011.46
HOMECIN-0.81-1.38

_

Home Baseball Handbook FooterMastodon