Choose a Day

CHA TOR 2024-05-22 18:07 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
CHA000 000 0202961
TOR070 200 00915102

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
CHA-0.710.00Nick Nastrini (R) 8.0-0.4
TOR-1.082.09Chris Bassitt (R) 48.30.03

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
CHA0.3390.3361981980.328 - 0.339NA
TOR0.7040.709-244410.704 - 0.714NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
CHA-5.81Chris Bassitt
-0.03=-4
Relief TOR
--0.02=-4
TOR-0.22Nick Nastrini
--0.4=0
Relief CHA
--0.57=0

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
CHA1535-81.9-18.2-6.92.5
TOR2226-25.9-3.5-8.54.0

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
CHA1832-25.2%4.8%49
TOR2523-15.6%11.3%47

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:07

details
CHA0.336NANANANANANA
TOR0.709NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
TOR-4-5.7-6.02.0-1.64.0
CHA-20-12.7-11.4-2.81.52.5

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYCHA-3.51-6.19
HOMETOR-0.24-0.11

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