Choose a Day

DET KCA 2024-05-22 13:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
DET000 000 2103761
KCA020 110 4081590

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
DET2.771.60Tarik Skubal (L) 55.03.11
KCA0.440.44Cole Ragans (L) 56.00.01

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
DET0.5240.537-116860.524 - 0.5450.474
KCA0.5450.502-101990.500 - 0.5450.526

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
DET-1.65Cole Ragans
-0.01=-2
Relief KCA
--0.16=-1
KCA0.06Tarik Skubal
-3.11=-3
Relief DET
-0.33=0

got here showsim internal 0

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
DET2326-22.926.8-3.9-3.0
KCA321926.322.223.4-2.1

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
DET2425-8.8%2.1%48
KCA252617.5%-29.5%50

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
13:10

details
DET0.5370.5000.4740.45193.088.283.9
KCA0.5020.5000.5260.54999.5104.7109.3

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
KCA1311.54.36.30.9-2.1
DET-34.8-1.63.82.6-3.0

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYDET-0.040.12
HOMEKCA1.43.4

_

Home Baseball Handbook FooterMastodon