Choose a Day

SEA NYA 2024-05-22 18:05 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
SEA000 000 03031060
NYA202 001 0271970

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
SEA1.14-0.03Bryce Miller (R) 52.70.05
NYA0.551.71Nestor Cortes (L) 60.70.59

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
SEA0.4310.4261351350.417 - 0.4310.402
NYA0.6090.614-159630.609 - 0.6210.598

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
SEA-0.21Nestor Cortes
-0.59=-1
Relief NYA
-0=0
NYA0.77Bryce Miller
-0.05=1
Relief SEA
-0.19=1

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
SEA2723-25.420.75.83.8
NYA341726.353.2-0.60.4

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
SEA25254.1%-9.6%49
NYA282316.6%-24.3%50

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:05

details
SEA0.4260.4310.4020.399101.394.593.8
NYA0.6140.5690.5980.60192.797.598.0

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
NYA1713.84.86.12.80.4
SEA41.2-4.43.32.33.8

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYSEA0.240.03
HOMENYA2.491.38

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