Choose a Day

SFN PIT 2024-05-22 17:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
SFN000 012 011 4916120
PIT000 500 000 05962

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
SFN-2.052.94Blake Snell (L) 11.70.01
PIT1.330.00Jared Jones (R) 53.00.11

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
SFN0.4950.4881051050.488 - 0.495NA
PIT0.5450.552-123810.545 - 0.574NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
SFN-0.21Jared Jones
-0.11=0
Relief PIT
--0.03=0
PIT-1.25Blake Snell
-0.01=-1
Relief SFN
-0.02=-1

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
SFN2426-0.2-22.9-1.93.2
PIT2327-20.2-2.9-6.92.3

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
SFN2624-13.9%1.2%49
PIT2426-5.8%1.9%49

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
17:40

details
SFN0.488NANANANANANA
PIT0.552NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
SFN-26.42.03.11.33.2
PIT-4-2.8-3.61.2-0.42.3

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYSFN-0.09-1.55
HOMEPIT-0.09-0.25

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