Choose a Day

TEX PHI 2024-05-23 12:05 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
TEX010 000 1002961
PHI001 300 10521120

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
TEX-0.470.76Andrew Heaney (L) 44.7-0.04
PHI1.952.75Zack Wheeler (R) 60.73.93

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
TEX0.3600.3751671670.360 - 0.3920.298
PHI0.6810.667-200500.655 - 0.6810.702

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
TEX0.19Zack Wheeler
-3.93=-4
Relief PHI
-0.31=0
PHI2.99Andrew Heaney
--0.04=3
Relief TEX
--0.28=3

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
TEX242711.1-7.8-10.4-1.5
PHI371455.932.84.33.5

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
TEX2724-11.2%7.0%50
PHI312019.6%-38.0%50

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
12:05

details
TEX0.3750.3330.2980.27588.979.673.4
PHI0.6670.6670.7020.725100.1105.3108.8

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
PHI2321.410.98.32.13.5
TEX-31.70.82.4-1.5-1.5

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYTEX-0.040
HOMEPHI4.623.84

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