Choose a Day

ATL PIT 2024-05-24 17:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
ATL000 000 05051272
PIT203 023 101123140

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
ATL0.23-0.18Ray Kerr (L) 9.3-0.11
PIT0.51-0.62Bailey Falter (L) 51.0-0.17

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
ATL0.6430.642-179560.636 - 0.643NA
PIT0.4000.4001501500.397 - 0.408NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
ATL2.49Bailey Falter
--0.17=3
Relief PIT
--0.34=3
PIT-1.55Ray Kerr
--0.11=-1
Relief ATL
-2.76=-4

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
ATL29191.737.53.81.0
PIT2428-12.3-6.5-6.21.2

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
ATL2919-1.4%-12.6%47
PIT2527-9.5%6.8%51

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
17:40

details
ATL0.642NANANANANANA
PIT0.400NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
ATL1013.72.86.64.41.0
PIT-4-2.8-2.51.4-1.71.2

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYATL1.090.45
HOMEPIT-0.22-0.59

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