Choose a Day

BAL CHA 2024-05-24 18:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
BAL001 030 02061581
CHA000 030 10041491

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
BAL2.073.29Corbin Burnes (R) 59.75.65
CHA-1.45-1.16Chris Flexen (R) 44.3-2.84

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
BAL0.7140.718-254390.714 - 0.7300.716
CHA0.3280.3272062060.312 - 0.3330.284

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
BAL0.53Chris Flexen
--2.84=3
Relief CHA
--2.8=3
CHA-4.47Corbin Burnes
-5.65=-6
Relief BAL
-1.39=-5

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
BAL311830.222.35.50.8
CHA1537-81.1-23.7-6.31.3

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
BAL272212.3%-16.9%47
CHA1933-28.1%6.3%51

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:40

details
BAL0.7180.7450.7160.758103.699.5105.4
CHA0.3270.2550.2840.24278.086.974.1

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
BAL1314.06.63.73.60.8
CHA-22-14.7-10.5-2.5-1.81.3

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYBAL1.31.42
HOMECHA-3.97-0.86

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