Choose a Day

ATL PIT 2024-05-25 15:05 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
ATL000 100 00011191
PIT001 200 104970

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
ATL2.631.27Reynaldo Lopez (R) 46.72.59
PIT0.190.36Mitch Keller (R) 61.00

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
ATL0.6000.603-152660.600 - 0.6210.633
PIT0.4440.4371291290.417 - 0.4440.367

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
ATL1.11Mitch Keller
-0=1
Relief PIT
--0.44=2
PIT-0.96Reynaldo Lopez
-2.59=-4
Relief ATL
-3.05=-4

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
ATL2920-0.937.63.30.6
PIT2528-11.9-4.4-5.71.6

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
ATL2920-3.4%-9.2%48
PIT2627-6.4%4.8%52

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
15:05

details
ATL0.6030.6630.6330.675110.1105.1112.1
PIT0.4370.3370.3670.32577.284.074.4

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
ATL912.92.46.44.10.6
PIT-3-1.6-1.21.6-1.91.6

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYATL0.890.24
HOMEPIT-0.14-0.35

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