Choose a Day

HOU OAK 2024-05-25 15:07 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
HOU000 001 0001440
OAK200 001 003761

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
HOU-2.420.00Spencer Arrighetti (R) 32.7-2.42
OAK-0.39-0.17JP Sears (L) 54.3-0.39

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
HOU0.6060.603-152660.592 - 0.6170.482
OAK0.4350.4371291290.426 - 0.4550.518

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
HOU2.31JP Sears
--0.39=3
Relief OAK
--0.49=3
OAK-0.89Spencer Arrighetti
--2.42=2
Relief HOU
-0=-1

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
HOU232916.4-36.012.6-4.5
OAK2232-25.1-24.8-10.12.6

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
HOU2923-22.5%16.8%51
OAK2232-9.2%-1.7%53

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
15:07

details
HOU0.6030.5310.4820.50188.180.083.2
OAK0.4370.4690.5180.499107.4118.6114.3

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
HOU-62.83.7-0.2-0.6-4.5
OAK-10-3.3-1.8-4.12.62.6

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYHOU-0.22-0.31
HOMEOAK-1.08-0.35

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