Choose a Day

LAN CIN 2024-05-25 18:15 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
LAN010 000 0001850
CIN110 001 0031690

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
LAN-0.03-0.05Walker Buehler (R) 13.3-0.15
CIN1.09-0.96Hunter Greene (R) 58.7-0.08

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
LAN0.6090.605-153650.592 - 0.609NA
CIN0.4310.4351301300.431 - 0.455NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
LAN5.63Hunter Greene
--0.08=4
Relief CIN
-0=4
CIN-0.44Walker Buehler
--0.15=0
Relief LAN
--1.54=1

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
LAN332139.925.26.9-3.1
CIN2230-8.95.6-2.7-6.7

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
LAN3420-1.6%-4.1%51
CIN2527-18.0%8.4%51

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:15

details
LAN0.605NANANANANANA
CIN0.435NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
LAN1212.27.43.21.6-3.1
CIN-8-1.4-1.80.7-0.3-6.7

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYLAN1.50.69
HOMECIN-0.72-0.56

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