Choose a Day

SFN NYN 2024-05-25 12:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
SFN000 001 001 571081
NYN010 000 100 021141

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
SFN2.050.13Jordan Hicks (R) 53.00.56
NYN0.57-0.73Luis Severino (R) 51.7-0.18

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
SFN0.4590.4631161160.444 - 0.4590.470
NYN0.6000.578-137730.592 - 0.6000.530

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
SFN-0.07Luis Severino
--0.18=0
Relief NYN
-0.09=0
NYN0.14Jordan Hicks
-0.56=0
Relief SFN
-0.04=0

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
SFN27269.1-25.4-1.74.8
NYN2130-19.6-0.6-4.8-3.7

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
SFN2726-5.9%-4.7%52
NYN2625-15.1%10.1%50

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
12:40

details
SFN0.4630.4990.4700.470107.8101.5101.5
NYN0.5780.5010.5300.53086.791.791.7

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
SFN19.84.23.71.94.8
NYN-9-1.2-0.1-3.22.2-3.7

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYSFN0-0.53
HOMENYN-0.57-0.81

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