Choose a Day

BOS BAL 2024-05-27 12:05 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
BOS000 000 03031081
BAL011 500 401121130

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
BOS0.87-0.35Cooper Criswell (R) 34.7-0.01
BAL0.79-0.07Cole Irvin (L) 45.70

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
BOS0.4310.4291331330.426 - 0.4350.420
BAL0.6090.609-156640.608 - 0.6170.580

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
BOS-0.25Cole Irvin
-0=0
Relief BAL
-2.2=-2
BAL0.61Cooper Criswell
--0.01=1
Relief BOS
-0.01=1

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
BOS27276.326.1-8.4-5.0
BAL341838.525.57.01.1

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
BOS2727-1.9%-5.4%53
BAL292314.7%-21.9%50

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
12:05

details
BOS0.4290.4510.4200.421105.197.998.1
BAL0.6090.5490.5800.57990.095.195.0

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
BAL1615.77.24.83.81.1
BOS011.02.35.43.3-5.0

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYBOS0.010.97
HOMEBAL1.90.87

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