Choose a Day

PHI SFN 2024-05-28 20:45 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
PHI000 000 000 00870
SFN000 000 000 11440

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
PHI2.182.59Zack Wheeler (R) 67.74.28
SFN-0.220.00Erik Miller (X) 24.7-0.21

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
PHI0.6710.670-203490.662 - 0.677NA
SFN0.3700.3731681680.370 - 0.379NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
PHI2.7Erik Miller
--0.21=3
Relief SFN
-0.19=3
SFN0Zack Wheeler
-4.28=-4
Relief PHI
-0.61=-1

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Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
PHI381852.736.1-0.81.5
SFN29279.9-21.4-2.54.9

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
PHI342214.0%-30.4%55
SFN2828-3.9%-6.3%55

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
20:45

details
PHI0.670NANANANANANA
SFN0.373NANANANANANA

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
PHI2022.010.88.13.11.5
SFN210.15.31.73.14.9

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYPHI3.751.87
HOMESFN0.010.56

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