Choose a Day

SDN KCA 2024-05-31 19:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
SDN000 002 0901120180
KCA000 003 005819130

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
SDN1.001.73Dylan Cease (R) 65.71
KCA-0.451.83Michael Wacha (R) 62.70.1

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
SDN0.5740.574-135740.574 - 0.5870.530
KCA0.4670.4651151150.455 - 0.4670.470

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
SDN0Michael Wacha
-0.1=0
Relief KCA
--0.73=1
KCA0.01Dylan Cease
-1=-1
Relief SDN
-0.97=-1

got here showsim internal 0

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
SDN31298.4-6.66.20.3
KCA352436.717.822.5-5.2

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
SDN3129-2.2%2.7%57
KCA283114.9%-26.9%58

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
19:10

details
SDN0.5740.5600.5300.51697.492.289.8
KCA0.4650.4400.4700.48494.6101.0104.1

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
KCA1114.35.47.31.5-5.2
SDN25.21.4-0.84.60.3

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYSDN0.011.3
HOMEKCA1.133.02

_

Home Baseball Handbook FooterMastodon