Choose a Day

TBA BAL 2024-05-31 18:05 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
TBA010 000 0001750
BAL000 003 00313110

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
TBA-2.460.05Aaron Civale (R) 56.7-2.56
BAL1.600.00Albert Suarez (R) 29.30.18

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
TBA0.4550.4481231230.426 - 0.4650.383
BAL0.5870.593-146680.583 - 0.6170.617

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
TBA-0.04Albert Suarez
-0.18=0
Relief BAL
-0.84=-1
BAL1.31Aaron Civale
--2.56=4
Relief TBA
-0.38=1

got here showsim internal 0

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
TBA2830-19.9-22.4-7.78.5
BAL361938.627.47.01.7

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmWLForAgainst#Bets
TBA3127-9.7%6.9%57
BAL312414.3%-21.7%53

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:05

details
TBA0.4480.4290.3830.39795.785.488.5
BAL0.5930.5710.6170.60395.9103.7101.3

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
BAL1716.49.05.42.01.7
TBA-2-6.4-3.0-4.00.68.5

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYTBA-0.010.03
HOMEBAL21.03

_

Home Baseball Handbook FooterMastodon