Baseball Handbook beta

SEA OAK 2024-06-05 20:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

Tm	Line Score	R	TB	H	E
SEA	ALI NE	1	8	4	2
OAK	HLI NE	2	9	5	0

Starters

Tm	WAA	2Yr	Name	IP	Tier
SEA	1.25	1.81	Logan Gilbert (R)	76.7	1.54
OAK	-1.03	-0.21	Joey Estes (R)	20.7	-0.74

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

No lines recorded for 20240605

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

Lineups		Pitchers		TC
SEA-0.35		Joey Estes
	-	-0.74	=	0
		Relief OAK
	-	-0.17	=	0
OAK-0.57		Logan Gilbert
	-	1.54	=	-2
		Relief SEA
	-	0.08	=	-1

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Team Status

Tm	W	L	BAT	PITCH	UR	dPE
SEA	35	28	-35.7	33.8	8.9	5.5
OAK	25	38	-30.5	-17.8	-15.7	0.4

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

Tm	W	L	For	Against	#Bets
SEA	33	30	4.4%	-12.5%	62
OAK	25	38	-9.0%	-1.1%	62

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games and displayed. EVs greater than 108 are not displayed because they go through another layer of scrutiny. NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate.

Time	Tm	Vegas	Neutral	HAP	HAWAA	Expected Values
20:40 details	SEA	0.620	0.570	0.540	0.541	91.8	86.9	87.1
	OAK	0.420	0.430	0.460	0.459	102.3	109.5	109.2

Horse Race Record

Tm	W-L	Total	Hitters	Starters	Relief	dPE
SEA	7	4.0	-5.1	6.0	3.1	5.5
OAK	-13	0.3	-1.8	-0.3	2.3	0.4

Away/Home Field Advantage

	Tm	total WAA	away/home WAA
AWAY	SEA	0.4	-0.02
HOME	OAK	-1.21	-0.47